Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.951517 2.121467 2.302429 2.509960 2.742001 2.994158 3.289846
2025-12-07 1.686738 1.916380 2.175202 2.490381 2.866330 3.303549 3.855107
2025-12-14 1.508816 1.768767 2.073939 2.462290 2.948582 3.544462 4.340976
2025-12-21 1.349257 1.619245 1.946106 2.376360 2.935975 3.650858 4.652610
2025-12-28 1.263349 1.548283 1.902936 2.384409 3.033083 3.894901 5.158592
2026-01-04 1.200080 1.498432 1.879112 2.410583 3.150149 4.169373 5.729719
2026-01-11 1.147871 1.457500 1.861535 2.440243 3.270047 4.453700 6.342136
2026-01-18 1.100625 1.418843 1.842630 2.464049 3.380223 4.730088 6.970427
2026-01-25 1.052324 1.374952 1.812491 2.467788 3.458680 4.962876 7.553411
2026-02-01 0.991136 1.309290 1.747230 2.414679 3.445463 5.050075 7.902288
2026-02-08 0.941335 1.256580 1.696739 2.378954 3.454368 5.170313 8.317842
2026-02-15 0.902295 1.216888 1.662336 2.364361 3.493914 5.341737 8.841930
2026-02-22 0.884765 1.207882 1.673110 2.421155 3.655041 5.736206 9.839396
2026-03-01 0.849402 1.170904 1.640029 2.406607 3.696838 5.928350 10.477232
2026-03-08 0.813893 1.131867 1.601511 2.380359 3.715879 6.080382 11.054636
2026-03-15 0.767382 1.074177 1.531424 2.298144 3.631443 6.034321 11.213163
2026-03-22 0.745525 1.052846 1.516533 2.305872 3.705214 6.289954 12.053054
2026-03-29 0.729086 1.038955 1.512392 2.330950 3.811407 6.617442 13.103859
2026-04-05 0.714384 1.026987 1.510502 2.359362 3.925387 6.971339 14.275570
2026-04-12 0.699355 1.013759 1.505747 2.382164 4.030135 7.316899 15.488722
2026-04-19 0.681304 0.994915 1.490782 2.385744 4.097839 7.591598 16.573741
2026-04-26 0.653640 0.959578 1.446934 2.334874 4.054906 7.624134 17.030396
2026-05-03 0.630745 0.931102 1.413314 2.300648 4.042369 7.721590 17.679423